very high<\/em>\u201d risk of wildfire damage, permafrost degradation, biodiversity loss, dryland water scarcity, and tree mortality on the land, and loss of warm-water corals in the sea. Most of the severe risks are asserted with moderate or low confidence, meaning that underlying evidence is lacking or inconclusive.<\/p>\nOne of the most famous climate experts, Michael Mann, criticized the IPCC for being \u201coverly conservative<\/em>\u201d in predicting catastrophic consequences of climate change, \u201cincluding ice sheet collapse, sea level rise, and the rise in extreme weather events<\/em>,\u201d Inside Climate News<\/em> reported.<\/p>\nBut it\u2019s been exactly these kinds of bold predictions that have undermined experts\u2019 credibility in the past.<\/p>\n
Environmentalist Bjorn Lomborg has collected some such failed predictions in his book, False Alarm: How Climate Change Panic Costs Us Trillions, Hurts the Poor, and Fails to Fix the Planet<\/em>. Geologist and electrical engineer Tony Heller, who frequently criticizes what he considers fraud in current mainstream climate research, has made it a recurring theme of his climate science blog to point out failed and dubious predictions.<\/p>\nExamples are plentiful, stretching far into the past:<\/p>\n
December 1939<\/strong><\/p>\n\u201cAll the glaciers in Eastern Greenland are rapidly melting<\/em>,\u201d the Harrisburg [Pennsylvania] Sunday Courier<\/em> reported.<\/p>\n\u201cIt may without exaggeration be said that the glaciers\u2014like those in Norway\u2014face the possibility of a catastrophic collapse<\/em>,\u201d the paper quoted Prof. Hans Ahlmann, a Swedish geologist, saying from a report to the Geographical Society after his Arctic expedition.<\/p>\nIn fact, arctic ice was seen receding since 1918, according to a 1923 New York Time <\/em>article. \u201cLast winter, oceans did not freeze over even on the north coast of Spitzbergen<\/em>,\u201d the article said.<\/p>\nBy comparison, this winter, sea ice did reach the shore of Spitzbergen, though in low concentrations. Back then, however, the meltdown seemed nowhere near done.<\/p>\n
May 1947<\/strong><\/p>\n\u201cThe possibility of a prodigious rise in the surface of the ocean with resultant widespread inundation, arising from an Arctic climate phenomenon, was discussed yesterday by Dr. Hans Ahlmann, a noted Swedish geophysicist at the University of California Geophysical Institute<\/em>,\u201d an article in The West Australian<\/em> read.<\/p>\n\u201cThe Arctic change is so serious that I hope an international agency can speedily be formed to study the conditions on a global basis<\/em>,\u201d Ahlmann said.<\/p>\nFebruary 1952<\/strong><\/p>\n\u201cThe glaciers of Norway and Alaska are only half the size they were 50 years ago<\/em>,\u201d said Dr. William Carlson, an Arctic expert, according to a newswire run by The Cairns Post<\/em> in Australia.<\/p>\nMarch 1955<\/strong><\/p>\n\u201cThere are now six million square miles of ice in the Arctic. There once were 12 million square miles<\/em>,\u201d said Arctic explorer Adm. Donald McMillan, according to Rochester<\/em>, New York\u2019s Democrat<\/em> and Chronicle<\/em>.<\/p>\n![\"\"](\"https:\/\/yogaesoteric.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/2-28-300x156.jpg\")
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October 1958<\/strong><\/p>\n\u201cSome scientists estimate that the polar ice pack is 40 percent thinner and 12 percent less in area than it was a half-century ago, and that even within the lifetime of our children, the Arctic Ocean may open, enabling ships to sail over the North Pole<\/em>,\u201d The New York Times<\/em> reported, noting that the Arctic ice sheet was about 7 feet thick at the time. Currently, the ice is about 7 feet thick, too.<\/p>\nBy the 1960s, it appears that worries about a melting Arctic became not as immediate, only to be supplanted by other environmental concerns.<\/p>\n
November 1967<\/strong><\/p>\n\u201cIt is already too late for the world to avoid a long period of famine<\/em>,\u201d The Salt Lake Tribune <\/em>reported, citing Paul Ehrlich\u2019s prediction of famines by 1975.<\/p>\nEhrlich, a Stanford University biologist and author of The Population Bomb<\/em>, proposed lacing staple foods and drinking water with sterilizing agents to cut the growing population of the United States, according to the report.<\/p>\nApril 1970<\/strong><\/p>\n\u201cScientist predicts a new ice age by 21st century<\/em>,\u201d The Boston Globe<\/em> reported, saying that pollution expert James Lodge predicted that \u201cair pollution may obliterate the sun and cause a new ice age in the first third of the new century<\/em>.\u201d<\/p>\nOctober 1970<\/strong><\/p>\nEhrlich went on to predict that America would be rationing water by 1974 and food by 1980, California\u2019s Redlands Daily Facts<\/em> reported.<\/p>\nJuly 1971<\/strong><\/p>\n\u201cThe world could be as little as 50 or 60 years away from a disastrous new ice age<\/em>,\u201d said atmospheric scientist S. I. Rasool of the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) and Columbia University, The Washington Post<\/em> reported.<\/p>\nJanuary 1972<\/strong><\/p>\n\u201cWe have 10 years to stop the catastrophe<\/em>,\u201d said Maurice Strong, then-U.N. environmental secretary, regarding world\u2019s environmental problems, according to a Swedish newspaper Dagens Nyheter<\/em>.<\/p>\nDecember 1972<\/strong><\/p>\nTwo Brown University geologists wrote a letter to President Richard Nixon, reporting that a conference attended by \u201c42 top American and European investigators<\/em>\u201d concluded \u201ca global deterioration of climate, by order of magnitude larger than any hitherto experienced by civilized mankind, is a very real possibility and indeed may be due very soon<\/em>.\u201d<\/p>\n\u201cThe present rate of cooling<\/em>,\u201d they said, \u201cseems fast enough to bring glacial temperatures in about a century, if continuing at the present pace<\/em>.\u201d<\/p>\nJanuary 1974<\/strong><\/p>\n\u201cSpace satellites show new Ice Age coming fast<\/em>,\u201d The Guardian<\/em> reported.<\/p>\nJune 1974<\/strong><\/p>\n\u201cAnother Ice Age?<\/em>\u201d a Time Magazine<\/em> headline asked.<\/p>\n\u201cTelltale signs are everywhere\u2014from the unexpected persistence and thickness of pack ice in the waters around Iceland to the southward migration of a warmth-loving creature like the armadillo from the Midwest<\/em>,\u201d the article said.<\/p>\nJanuary 1978<\/strong><\/p>\n\u201cAn international team of specialists has concluded from eight indexes of climate that there is no end in sight to the cooling trend of the last 30 years, at least in the Northern Hemisphere<\/em>,\u201d The New York Times<\/em> reported.<\/p>\nA year later, the paper was reporting the opposite.<\/p>\n
February 1979<\/strong><\/p>\n\u201cThere is a real possibility that some people now in their infancy will live to a time when the ice at the North Pole will have melted, a change that would cause swift and perhaps catastrophic changes in climate<\/em>,\u201d The New York Times<\/em> said.<\/p>\n![\"\"](\"https:\/\/yogaesoteric.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/3-16-e1690225720275-300x183.jpg\")
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May 1982<\/strong><\/p>\nMostafa Tolba, then-executive director of the U.N. environmental program, said that if the world didn\u2019t change course, it would face \u201can environmental catastrophe which will witness devastation as complete, as irreversible, as any nuclear holocaust<\/em>\u201d by the year 2000, according to The New York Times<\/em>.<\/p>\nSeptember 1988<\/strong><\/p>\nThe small island nation of Maldives was threatened to be completely covered by \u201ca gradual rise in average sea level<\/em>\u201d in 30 years, Agence France-Presse<\/em> reported, noting that \u201cthe end of the Maldives and its people could come sooner if drinking water supplies dry up by 1992, as predicted<\/em>.\u201d<\/p>\nMaldives are still nowhere near under water. In fact, despite the covid pandemic\u2019s decimation of tourism, the nation still attracts new developments. Just recently, Emirati development company awarded a $148 million contract to build 120 luxurious over-water and beachfront villas on Maldives\u2019 South Male Atoll, Hotelier Maldives<\/em> reported.<\/p>\nJune 1989<\/strong><\/p>\n\u201cA senior environmental official at the United Nations, Noel Brown, says entire nations could be wiped off the face of the earth by rising sea levels if global warming is not reversed by the year 2000<\/em>,\u201d California\u2019s San Jose Mercury News<\/em> reported.<\/p>\n\u201cCoastal flooding and crop failures would create an exodus of \u2018eco-refugees,\u2019 threatening political chaos<\/em>,\u201d said Brown, then-director of the New York office of the U.N. Environment Program.<\/p>\nMarch 2000<\/strong><\/p>\n\u201cSnowfalls are now just a thing of the past<\/em>,\u201d The Independent<\/em> wrote. \u201cChildren just aren\u2019t going to know what snow is<\/em>,\u201d said David Viner, a senior research scientist at the climatic research unit of England\u2019s University of East Anglia, noting that within a few years, winter snowfall would become \u201ca very rare and exciting event<\/em>.\u201d<\/p>\nWhile snow is rare in southern England, it still comes pretty much every winter.<\/p>\n
December 2001<\/strong><\/p>\n\u201cThe changes in climate could potentially extirpate the sugar maple industry in New England<\/em>\u201d within 20 years, according to George Hurtt, co-author of a 2001 global warming report commissioned by the U.S. Congress, according to Albuquerque Journal<\/em>.<\/p>\nToday, New England still produces plenty of maple syrup.<\/p>\n
February 2004<\/strong><\/p>\nThe Guardian<\/em> reported on a secret Pentagon report that predicted climate change will lead to nuclear war, major European cities will sink into the ocean, and Britain would descend into \u201cSiberian<\/em>\u201d climate by the year 2020.<\/p>\nJanuary 2006<\/strong><\/p>\n\u201cUnless drastic measures to reduce greenhouse gases are taken within the next 10 years, the world will reach a point of no return<\/em>,\u201d The Associated Press<\/em> wrote, paraphrasing Al Gore, a prominent global warming advocate.<\/p>\nNovember 2007<\/strong><\/p>\nThis year was the \u201cdefining moment<\/em>\u201d of the climate change fight, according to Rajendra Pachauri, then-head of the U.N. climate panel. \u201cIf there is no action before 2012, that\u2019s too late<\/em>,\u201d the official said, according to The New York Times<\/em>.<\/p>\nNovember 2007<\/strong><\/p>\n\u201cThe Arctic Ocean could be free of ice in the summer as soon as 2010 or 2015\u2014something that hasn\u2019t happened in more than a million years<\/em>,\u201d Canada\u2019s Canwest News Service<\/em> reported, paraphrasing polar researcher Louis Fortier.<\/p>\nDecember 2007<\/strong><\/p>\n\u201cArctic Sea Ice Gone in Summer Within Five Years?<\/em>\u201d said an Associated Press<\/em> headline.<\/p>\n\u201cAt this rate, the Arctic Ocean could be nearly ice-free at the end of summer by 2012<\/em>,\u201d said Jay Zwally, a NASA climate scientist, according to the article.<\/p>\nDecember 2007<\/strong><\/p>\n\u201cArtic summers ice-free \u2018by 2013\u2019<\/em>\u201d the BBC<\/em> reported.<\/p>\n\u201cOur projection of 2013 for the removal of ice in summer is not accounting for the last two minima, in 2005 and 2007<\/em>,\u201d a researcher from the Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, California, told the BBC<\/em>.<\/p>\n\u201cSo given that fact, you can argue that maybe our projection of 2013 is already too conservative<\/em>.\u201d<\/p>\nMarch 2008<\/strong><\/p>\n\u201cIf Norway\u2019s average temperature this year equals that in 2007, the ice cap in the Arctic will all melt away, which is highly possible judging from current conditions<\/em>,\u201d said Olav Orheim, head of the Norwegian International Polar Year Secretariat, according to Xinhua<\/em>, China\u2019s official propaganda mouthpiece.<\/p>\nNorway\u2019s average temperature did slightly increase from 2007 to 2008. The ice didn\u2019t melt.<\/p>\n
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April 2008<\/strong><\/p>\n\u201cNorth Pole could be ice free in 2008<\/em>,\u201d reported New Scientist<\/em>.<\/p>\n\u201cThere is this thin first-year ice even at the North Pole at the moment<\/em>,\u201d said Mark Serreze, director of the National Snow and Ice Data Center, according to the article. \u201cThat raises the specter\u2014the possibility\u2014that you could become ice free at the North Pole this year<\/em>.\u201d<\/p>\nJune 2008<\/strong><\/p>\n\u201cWe\u2019re actually projecting this year that the North Pole may be free of ice for the first time in history<\/em>,\u201d said David Barber, of the University of Manitoba, according to National Geographic News<\/em>.<\/p>\nJune 2008<\/strong><\/p>\n\u201cIn five to 10 years, the Arctic will be free of ice in the summer<\/em>,\u201d The Associated Press<\/em> reported, paraphrasing James Hansen, director of NASA\u2019s Goddard Institute of Space Sciences.<\/p>\nDecember 2009<\/strong><\/p>\n\u201cThe Arctic Ocean may be nearly ice-free in summer as early as 2014<\/em>,\u201d Al Gore said, according to USA Today<\/em>.<\/p>\nSeptember 2012<\/strong><\/p>\n\u201cEnjoy snow now, by 2020, it\u2019ll be gone<\/em>,\u201d The Australian<\/em> reported. It still snows in Australia. Last year\u2019s snowfall was, in fact, significantly above average.<\/p>\nJuly 2013<\/strong><\/p>\n\u201cIce-free Arctic in two years heralds methane catastrophe\u2014scientist<\/em>,\u201d The Guardian <\/em>reported.<\/p>\nFebruary 2014<\/strong><\/p>\n\u201cThe End of Snow?<\/em>\u201d asked a New York Times<\/em> op-ed headline, talking about declining snowpack in Western United States. The past decade overall has marked no significant snowfall decline in the region.<\/p>\nJuly 2017<\/strong><\/p>\nAfter then-U.S. President Donald Trump pulled the United States out of the U.N. Paris Climate Agreement<\/em>, physicist Stephen Hawking said, according to BBC<\/em>: \u201cWe are close to the tipping point, where global warming becomes irreversible. Trump\u2019s action could push the Earth over the brink, to become like Venus, with a temperature of 250 degrees and raining sulfuric acid<\/em>.\u201d<\/p>\nAugust 2017<\/strong><\/p>\n\u201cSnowy retreat: Climate change puts Australia\u2019s ski industry on a downhill slope<\/em>,\u201d The Sydney Morning Herald<\/em> reported. It\u2019s been snowing quite as usual in Australia in recent years, weather data indicates.<\/p>\nJanuary 2018<\/strong><\/p>\n\u201cThe chance that there will be any permanent ice left in the Arctic after 2022 is essentially zero<\/em>,\u201d said James Anderson, a Harvard University professor of atmospheric chemistry, according to Forbes<\/em>.<\/p>\nJuly 2020<\/strong><\/p>\n\u201cThe end of snow<\/em>,\u201d said an Australian Geographic<\/em> headline. \u201cCould a warming climate be putting Australia\u2019s magnificent alpine landscapes at risk?<\/em>\u201d<\/p>\nThere was no particular lack of snow in Australia in either 2021 or 2022.<\/p>\n
December 2021<\/strong><\/p>\nThe Los Angeles Times<\/em> ran a story headlined, \u201cA \u2018no snow\u2019 California could come sooner than you think.<\/em>\u201d<\/p>\nA few weeks later, the UC Berkely Central Sierra Snow Lab announced that California just had the snowiest December on record.<\/p>\n
August 2022<\/strong><\/p>\n\u201cThe End of Snow Threatens to Upend 76 Million American Lives<\/em>,\u201d Bloomberg<\/em> reported, referring to predictions of snow disappearance in the western United States.<\/p>\nA few months later, Sierra Nevada mountains would see its second snowiest winter on record.<\/p>\n
March 2023<\/strong><\/p>\n\u201cArctic ice has seen an \u2018irreversible\u2019 thinning since 2007, study says<\/em>,\u201d The Washington Post <\/em>reported.<\/p>\nThe ice hasn\u2019t thinned much over the past decade.<\/p>\n
Since 1979, the summer minima have seen a record low every 5-7 years. Since 2012, however, there has been no new record, the data shows.<\/p>\n
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yogaesoteric
\nJuly 24, 2023<\/strong><\/p>\n <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Humanity only has a few years to act before the world may irreversibly plunge into an environmental catastrophe of global proportions, climate experts warned in a recent report. Their calls are muffled, however, by a ballast of dozens of past dramatic predictions that have failed to pan out. Environmental experts have been predicting upcoming doom […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1180],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-128367","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-information-control-for-social-manipulation-3480-en"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/yogaesoteric.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/128367","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/yogaesoteric.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/yogaesoteric.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/yogaesoteric.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/yogaesoteric.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=128367"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/yogaesoteric.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/128367\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":128381,"href":"https:\/\/yogaesoteric.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/128367\/revisions\/128381"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/yogaesoteric.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=128367"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/yogaesoteric.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=128367"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/yogaesoteric.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=128367"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}
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