{"id":170094,"date":"2024-09-21T17:26:00","date_gmt":"2024-09-21T17:26:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/yogaesoteric.net\/?p=170094"},"modified":"2024-09-21T17:26:00","modified_gmt":"2024-09-21T17:26:00","slug":"the-biggest-migration-since-the-barbarian-invasions-of-rome","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/yogaesoteric.net\/en\/the-biggest-migration-since-the-barbarian-invasions-of-rome\/","title":{"rendered":"The Biggest Migration Since the Barbarian Invasions of Rome"},"content":{"rendered":"

International Man<\/strong>: Former Libyan leader Muammar Ghaddafi once warned that \u201cEurope runs the risk of turning black from illegal immigration, it could turn into Africa.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/em><\/p>\n

Since the United States and NATO helped overthrow Ghaddafi in 2011, millions of migrants from Africa and the Middle East have poured into Europe. Many transited from Libya.<\/em><\/p>\n

This is all well known, and all signs point to this trend accelerating. What\u2019s your take on where this is going?<\/em><\/p>\n

Doug Casey<\/strong>: It\u2019s a pity Ghaddafi was taken out. Not that he was a nice guy\u2014no one running an artificially constructed nation-state is. But at least it was a stable situation. Libya is still on the map, but it\u2019s been replaced by at least two new rump states, after a bloody and costly civil war. Another disastrous US policy decision. The work of Hillary and Obama.<\/p>\n

But let\u2019s talk about Africa at large. Africa, or at least migration out of Africa, is going to be one of the world\u2019s big stories for the rest of this century.<\/p>\n

Africa has gone from being just an empty space on the map in the 19th century, to a bunch of backwater colonies in the 20th century, to a bunch of chaotic failed states that most people are only vaguely aware of today. Soon, however, it will be continuing front-page news. That\u2019s because Chinese are moving to Africa in record numbers while Africans are leaving as fast as they can.<\/p>\n

What we\u2019re looking at is the biggest migration since the barbarian invasions of the Roman Empire. Millions of Africans are trying to get into Europe. I don\u2019t know how the Europeans will keep them out. I used to say Europe was going to be a petting zoo for the Chinese, but it may be more of a squatter\u2019s camp for the Africans.<\/p>\n

Africa is the only part of the world where the population is still growing rapidly. Africa south of the Sahara was about 6% of the world\u2019s population in the \u201950s; now, it\u2019s about 20%. By the turn of the century, the UN projects it will be 45%\u2014assuming there isn\u2019t some kind of catastrophe. That\u2019s because it\u2019s unclear whether Africans can grow enough food for billions more people.<\/p>\n

In fact, if the West stops supporting the continent with capital and technology, it could be in for very tough times. That\u2019s in addition to lots of wars fought with modern weapons, not just machetes, like those that killed over 500,000 in Rwanda a generation ago.<\/p>\n

Wakanda, the mythical country in Black Panther<\/em>, doesn\u2019t exist. On the contrary, the continent is full of Gondwana lookalikes. Gondwana is the dangerous and crazy country where most of the action takes place in Speculator<\/em>, the novel John Hunt and I wrote. It\u2019s the first of seven in the High Ground series.<\/p>\n

Few people realize how fast the population is growing and how everything is changing in Africa. I ask knowledgeable people what they think the biggest cities in the world will be at the turn of the next century. They all guess cities in China or India.<\/p>\n

But that\u2019s not true. Eighty years from now, Lagos, Nigeria, may be the largest city in the world, with a population of over 90 million. The world\u2019s second biggest city will be Kinshasa in the Congo with about 80 million people. Dar es Salaam, Tanzania, will be the world\u2019s third-biggest city, with a population of roughly 75 million people. It\u2019s quite amazing. When I first visited Dar in the early \u201980s, it was a quiet, exotic seaport with old tramp steamers in the harbor.<\/p>\n

Now all those people have cell phones, and they\u2019re well aware that standards of living are vastly higher in Europe and North America. And they know that massive welfare benefits await if they can get there.<\/p>\n

Hundreds of NGOs are encouraging Africans to get across the Mediterranean to Europe. Many are flown to the US. For instance, exactly who paid the airfare and living expenses of the 200,000 penniless Somali Muslims who were transplanted to Minnesota?<\/p>\n

It\u2019s a growing tidal wave. With the native European population diminishing and the African population growing, Europe will resemble Africa in the next several generations, barring radical change in the trend.<\/p>\n

International Man<\/strong>: We don\u2019t hear much about the massive migration of the Chinese to Africa that\u2019s taking place.<\/em><\/p>\n

Doug, you\u2019ve spent a lot of time in Africa. What\u2019s going on with that?<\/em><\/p>\n

Doug Casey<\/strong>: We\u2019re seeing a veritable recolonization of Africa. Each time I visit Africa, there are more Chinese. They\u2019re everywhere.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Rich Chinese are smart to diversify to developed Western countries. Poor Chinese go to backward countries to try to become wealthy. Africa is the prime recipient.<\/p>\n

It\u2019s supposedly official Chinese policy to migrate about 300 million Chinese to Africa in the years to come. They\u2019re employed in building roads, railroads, ports, mines, and other infrastructure, partially driven by the Belt and Road Initiative.<\/p>\n

The Chinese are also lending billions to African governments. African governments are, by an order of magnitude, the most corrupt in the world. And the people who run these African governments are being well compensated for making deals with the Chinese. These governments are full of people trying to be \u201cMister 10%.\u201d<\/p>\n

They want to retire as centimillionaires, living high off the hog in France or Switzerland. It\u2019s a fairly unstoppable trend.<\/p>\n

Regardless of how much is stolen, however, I expect the Chinese are going to want the money they loaned to the Africans back, with interest. If bribing or intimidating political leaders proves ineffective in getting it back, it\u2019s possible that they\u2019ll put soldiers\u2019 boots on the ground. They could send in the People\u2019s Liberation Army (PLA) to defend their assets. Or send in assassins to take out recalcitrant African politicians.<\/p>\n

I wouldn\u2019t be surprised to find the PLA in Africa in the years to come, physically collecting on those debts. And to make it easier, they\u2019ll be greeted by lots of Chinese already there.<\/p>\n

It will be interesting to see what occurs when a couple hundred million Chinese, who will control the economy, are living with a radically expanding native African population.<\/p>\n

If the Africans were unhappy with European colonization, I think they\u2019re going to be very, very unhappy with the Chinese colonization. The Chinese will not be \u201cinclusive,\u201d \u201cwoke,\u201d and PC like today\u2019s Westerners. It has the makings of a race war a generation or so in the future.<\/p>\n

International Man<\/strong>: What about Africa piques the interests of the Chinese?<\/em><\/p>\n

Doug Casey<\/strong>: It\u2019s important to remember that Africa doesn\u2019t produce anything besides raw materials\u2014and people. Sub-Saharan Africa has close to zero manufacturing\u2014like 1% of the world\u2019s total. And almost all of that is in South Africa.<\/p>\n

The Chinese see Africans as no more than a cheap and dispensable labor source. That\u2019s at best. Beyond that, they\u2019re viewed as a nuisance. Basically, an obstacle\u2014a cost\u2014standing in the way of efficient use of the continent\u2019s resources.<\/p>\n

What do the Chinese think of Africans? They don\u2019t hold them in high regard. Of course, you\u2019ve got to remember that China has viewed itself as the center of the world since Day One. They see all non-Han people as barbarians, as inferiors.<\/p>\n

The same was true when the British sent an ambassador, Macartney, to open relations at the very end of the 18th century. He was treated with borderline contempt\u2014pretty much the way Westerners have treated primitive peoples since the days of Columbus.<\/p>\n

It\u2019s the normal human attitude when an advanced culture encounters a backward culture. The Chinese believe their culture is superior to the West\u2019s and believe\u2014probably correctly\u2014that they\u2019ll soon be economically and technologically superior as well.<\/p>\n

International Man<\/strong>: If China comes to dominate Africa and its resources, what does that mean for its rivalry with the US?<\/em><\/p>\n

Doug Casey<\/strong>: The US government is basically bankrupt at this point. The main US export, now and for the last 40 years, has been US dollars.<\/p>\n

Sometime soon the Chinese, the Malaysians, the Iranians, and the Indians, among others, won\u2019t want US dollars. They don\u2019t want to accept them now, because it\u2019s an asset of their adversary, or even their enemy. The world saw what occurred to Russia and realized they could be next. They\u2019re unhappy about having to settle accounts in dollars that all have to clear through New York.<\/p>\n

So they\u2019ll come up with their own alternative. I suspect they\u2019re going to use gold. Why? Because they don\u2019t trust each other\u2019s paper currencies any more than the dollar.<\/p>\n

The US dollar could be left out in the cold. Foreign countries want and need real goods, not the paper obligations of a hostile, unpredictable, bankrupt government. Again, the main US exports are fiat dollars and unwelcome soldiers. Meanwhile, the Chinese are exporting a couple hundred million spare people, backed by scores of billions of capital.<\/p>\n

The bottom line is that the Chinese are likely to take over Africa both financially and demographically.<\/p>\n

Author: Doug Casey<\/em><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n

yogaesoteric
\nSeptember 21, 2024<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

International Man: Former Libyan leader Muammar Ghaddafi once warned that \u201cEurope runs the risk of turning black from illegal immigration, it could turn into Africa.\u201d Since the United States and NATO helped overthrow Ghaddafi in 2011, millions of migrants from Africa and the Middle East have poured into Europe. Many transited from Libya. This is […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[382],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-170094","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-opinions-1602-en"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/yogaesoteric.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/170094","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/yogaesoteric.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/yogaesoteric.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/yogaesoteric.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/yogaesoteric.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=170094"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/yogaesoteric.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/170094\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":170101,"href":"https:\/\/yogaesoteric.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/170094\/revisions\/170101"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/yogaesoteric.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=170094"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/yogaesoteric.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=170094"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/yogaesoteric.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=170094"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}