Nature Controls CO2 – Not Man

On March 19, 2020 the State of California became the first state to issue a stay-at-home order, mandating all residents stay at home except to go to an essential job or shop for essential needs. Within weeks most of the world followed.

For the next three months total energy use across all sectors… transportation, industrial, commercial, and residential… plummeted by over 15 percent thereafter rising slowly in bursts and spats.

As an avid studier of all things “climate change” related I tracked the impact this significant fuel use reduction had on the Keeling Curve. The Keeling Curve is the chart tracking carbon dioxide in the atmosphere based on near daily measurements at the Mauna Lao observatory located on the big island of Hawaii.

The effect was both shocking and predictable. The marked reduction of fossil fuel use had no effect on the Keeling Curve which continued its virtual 45 percent upward slope on the highly exaggerated chart expressed as parts per million per year.

This was wholly consistent with our findings over the previous 10 years as developing countries increased fossil use with no corresponding change of CO2 as reflected in this curve.

Notice on the upward slopping blue bar line of the Keeling curve in figure 2, the jagged “sawtooth” line. This jagged sawtooth waveform represents the seasonal variations of CO2 as affected by plant growth on land and sea. This is a function of the Earth’s elliptical orbit around the Sun and its 23.5 degree axial tilt.

Close inspection of this saw tooth like variance in CO2 shows roughly 10 parts per million (ppm) variation between the minimum and maximum as affected by sunlight and plant life distribution. This is far more than the 3 ppm increase in CO2 that the climate alarmist’s community claim is caused by man’s use of ‘fossil fuels’.

To me, this was the “smoking gun” showing that these claims of fossil fuel increasing total CO2 were false and without merit!

In collaboration with Mr. Bud Bromley, and with the kind financial support of actor/singer Pat Boone, we engaged two Stanford educated Ph.D.’s, Dr. Shahar Ben-Menahem a physicists and Dr. Abraham Ishihara, a high-level mathematician and control theory expert, to design an experiment using the Mauna Lao Keeling data which is considered by all leading scientists as the “gold standard” of the available CO2 monitoring data sets.

1. Our scientists took the raw NOAA Mauna Loa data for daily CO2 tests and filled in data points for days with missing data using standard interpolation methods.
2. Then they transformed the CO2 ppm concentration versus time data into the frequency domain, like a continuous spectrum of light or radio frequencies. This provides nearly unlimited resolution.
3. Then they notch filtered to remove resonances and seasonal cycles such as the shark’s teeth.
4. Then they low pass filtered out all frequencies above a specified frequency to remove random noise spikes.
5. Then they reconstructed the data again as CO2 ppm concentration versus time and cleaned the CO2 time signal.
6. They calculated these data as the time derivative of CO2 concentration. This is the rate of change of CO2 ppm concentration. It is like the speed or velocity of a car.
7. Then they drilled into these data to look at the time window beginning about a year before the Pinatubo volcano eruption of June 15, 1991 and a few years after the eruption.

What we proved was that:

1. The NOAA-Scripps “Keeling curve” dataset from Mauna Loa is responsive to CO2 changes even though the event causing those changes is physically remote, thousands of miles away from the NOAA measurement site on Mauna Loa in Hawaii. We now know this NOAA data will be sufficient for further data science. Confirming this was one of the primary purposes of our first phase of work.
2. Our results confirm that human CO2 emissions are insignificant compared to net global average CO2 concentration. We demonstrate this by simple calculations in our written publication of the results of this Pinatubo study and in 2 addenda.
3. The software and method we used is sensitive to changes in the CO2 daily records from Mauna Loa and well suited for further research.
4. The result of this first phase of our study is consistent with Henry’s Law in conjunction with the Law of Mass Action, Le Chatelier’s Principle, Graham’s Law and Fick’s Law. CO2 concentrations in air, ocean, soil, and biosphere began to rapidly re-equilibrate to the cooler Earth surface caused by reduced insolation due to the cloud belt. As the cloud belt dissipated and surface warmed, CO2 concentrations rapidly re-equilibrated.
5. Following Henry’s Law, human-produced CO2 can only temporarily change CO2 concentration in air and ocean surface. Our results, confirming NOAA-Scripps results, suggest that human CO2 emissions are a temporary perturbation to an ongoing CO2 trend, like the perturbation caused by the Pinatubo volcanic eruption and its aftermath, but much smaller. Perturbation by human emissions will be rapidly returned to the CO2 trend. CO2 concentration in air is controlled by CO2 solubility in water surface. More than 90 percent of Earth’s water is in the ocean, and ocean is 70 percent of earth’s surface.
6. Solubility of any gas in any liquid is an intensive property of matter, like a boiling point, or a specific heat. Intensive properties of matter are not a function of the amount of material present. Instead, solubility and diffusivity of a gas in a liquid are a property of the matter itself; in this case, diffusivity of CO2 is a function of the molecular weight of CO2. Adding more CO2 to the air, whether done by a volcano or by humans, or by decaying biological material, does not change the ratio of CO2 gas concentration in ocean surface versus CO2 gas concentration in air above that surface, this is Henry’s Law. Surface temperature does change that ratio.
7. Solubility or diffusivity of a gas in a liquid depends on the surface temperature and the molecular weight of the gas, not on the amount of the gas or the source of the gas. Diffusivity of a gas in a liquid is inversely proportional to the square root of the molecular weight of the gas; this is Graham’s Law.
8. There are many variables that affect surface temperature, some are systematic like Earth’s orbital distance from the sun, and other variables may be chaotic, such as ocean and air currents, storms, humidity and clouds.

The bottom-line results of our experiment and analysis of the NOAA Scrips Keeling data conclusively PROVES that “the net amount of equilibrated carbon dioxide (CO2) in the atmosphere is the same as if human beings never existed.”

Climate Change is therefore a natural phenomenon, and not manmade.

Let that sink in.

The total net amount of CO2 in our atmosphere today is no more or no less than if humans never existed on our planet.

Why does the keeling curve show an increase of roughly 3 ppm per year? Because of slight increases in sea surface temperatures resulting from perturbations in the Earth-Sun orbit and changes in the gravitational pull between the earth and large planets which also slightly affect sea surface temperature.

Recently, the Vatican released a new documentary on ‘climate change’ based on what it calls the “reckless new use of fossil fuels”, through Cardinal Czerny, and calls for “zero emissions” by 2050.

In september, Congresswomen Rashida Tlaib tried to browbeat the nation’s largest bank CEOs into not lending to oil and gas companies. Thankfully, and correctly, JP Morgan Chase’s CEO, Jamie Dimon, responded to the Congresswomen when asked if Chase would cease lending to energy companies as follows:

“Absolutely not and that would be the road to hell for America.”

In a recent private exchange with Dr. Richard S. Lindzen, Professor Emeritus, Alfred P. Sloan Professor of Meteorology, Massachusetts Institute of Technology and author of over 200 scientific papers and books on the atmosphere, I pointed out that the ‘climate change’ farce drivers are purely and totally financial and political.

The science is clearly on our side. Of course I was preaching to the Choir.

Dr. Lindzen points out:

“…the importance in propaganda of establishing the narrative (i.e., the accepted story line). One of the more subtle techniques is to pepper the narrative (climate change is caused by man) with many obviously dubious features.

This may seem counter intuitive. However, by doing so, one diverts attention from the narrative’s larger framework. People immediately attack these dubious features while leaving the larger narrative untouched.

He offers us this sage advice: ‘Stop treating AGW… human-caused global warming/climate change… as a worthy opponent. Do not ascribe reasonableness to the other side. It is not reasonable, not true, and not even plausible.’”

This message and these facts must be brought to the people. Only then can the political establishment be jarred into reality. Perhaps we should start with religious leaders in the Christian and Jewish community.

Thought provoking articles about this subject and our study such as those published by the Times of Israel by Israeli-American Rabbi Avraham Schwartz pave the way.

Author: Tomer Tamarkin

 

yogaesoteric
December 20, 2022